The failure of economics to predict the future: the false postulates

Economics are ruled by the same laws and behaviors that rule biological ecosystems. Yet social scientists cannot predict the future of humans and machines, like other sciences predict the future of their species of study, because it does not apply such laws.

Abstract economics are not a science. It ignores evolutionary theory, the basis of most sciences that try to predict the future. The economist conducted a test on future economic indicators. They queried taxi drivers, finance ministers, trash collectors and economists. The results found that the trash collectors were the most successful group in the study! Financial ministers tested the most poorly. Imagine asking a hospital owner, doctor, hairdresser and the homeless to diagnose the sickness of your body. What if the person most likely to diagnose illness properly was the homeless person. Would you call those physicians doctors, or clowns? Would you continue to put your life in their hands? Would you call their procedures science? Economics study, on an abstract level, the mathematical laws of money, and teaches nothing about history, machine evolution, and the future. Yet humankind is willing to risk the future of humanity, by blindly following lies determined by economic theories and postulates, whose only aim is to build the ecosystem of machines...without considering its negative side effects for the human kind. Only an evolutionary theory of economics can give humankind the true explanation of the World today. Abstract economics have not created objective definitions of machines, money, and the ecosystem of products they create; instead all its analyses are subjective, in favor of machines and money.

That is why we affirm that economics are a religion of money and machines, not a science. Yet there is a science of economics, bio-economics, the science which explains in biological terms the relationship between the human and the economic ecosystem. Its predictions are hard to swallow but accurate. Why then bio-economics are not developed? The answer requires a little bit of history.

Even if Economic futures are predictable to the extent that a biological ecosystem is predictable, Economics cannot predict those futures. Astronomy could not predict the future of stars in the XV century even if it was predictable. The problem was not the stars but the science of Astronomy. So goes for economics today, which renounces to study bio-economics with biological laws, and prefers myths and abstractions about the goodness of money and machines that date back to the age of Calvin.

To say that there are truths, lies, half lies, and statistical-economic forecasts is a well known joke that might seem insulting to 'Abstract Economists'. Yet unless Economists use Evolutionary and biological Theories in his analysis of Products and Money, instead of keeping abstract ideologies on the nature of money (as Marxists or Classic economists do), economists will never be able to forecast the future.

Any science is defined by a postulate from where all the content of the science is deduced. If the postulate is false the science is false. Let us put some examples. When the Postulate of Ptolomeic Astronomy -the idea that planets turn around the Earth was proved false- the entire Middle age science crumbled. Yet once the error was corrected, we could predict with accuracy the future position of planets. So happened in medicine, with the false dogmas of Galenus. Men was not made of humors, and sickness was caused by germs. Only when Pasteur proved that, medicine was able to cure sickness...

Let us show on the left side, “false scientific theories based in false postulates and myths”. On the right side, true scientific theories, based on true postulates, able to predict the future:

PTOLOMEIC ASTRONOMY VS KEPLERIAN ASTRONOMY

Earth is the center. Sun is the center.

Planets run on weird cycles. Planets run on simple ellipses.

Predictive Accuracy: 40%. Accuracy: 99%

GALENUS THEORY OF HUMORS Vs PASTEUR THEORY OF GERMS.

Body schemes. Body schemes.

Rabies Healing: 0%. Rabies Healing: 90%

In Middle Age hospitals under the Galenus theory, all rabies ended in death. Pasteur with his theory cured rabies. When medicine was directed by myths, it was easier to die in a hospital when you had a baby, that at home. Since doctors did not clean their hands, and infected with germs the mothers. And doctors were called, “health-killers”. So happens today with economists. They kill the health of nations because they apply wrong measures based on economic myths. They do not control “lethal machines” that infect and kill the ecosystem of life, such as weapons, robotics, or metal-minds. What are those myths that kill human history as the myths of doctors killed the ill? The myths that machines and money are abstract and good for the health of mankind.

The false postulate of economics is the concept that the wealth of a nation is given by its money and machines, (GNP) which therefore should be reproduced and evolved by all nations, in order to improve their wealth. Abstract Economists affirm and defend the postulate that the Wealth of nations is measured in money. Yet money values more machines, than human energy and information… So Economists in fact affirm that the wealth of nations is the quantity of machines a nation has. However such postulate is not proved, neither is true. Yet the belief of such a postulate is the motor of our political and economical activity.

Since Adam Smith postulated that the wealth of nation was its machines and money, all economists and nations try to increase their National Gross product, their machines. The myth has become the only goal of nations. But that myth is false. In fact, when more machines and money a nation has is when there is a war; when the wealth and health of the common people is lower, and they are killed more often... by machines... We could again consider both the myth and the science by its accuracy to predict the truth. What are money and machines the species of economics?

ECONOMICS BIO-ECONOMICS, ETHONOMICS

Myth Truth

Money: Invisible hand of God Vs Informative Language of Metal. Machine: Abstract object Vs Organic species of metal.

Prove: Prediction of economical cycles, and cycles of war

Accuracy: 20% Vs 90%

Results for Human wealth and health

Priority:Reproduction of machines Vs Reproduction of human goods

Human welfare: Minimal Vs Maximum human welfare

Creation of the Metal-earth Vs Creation of a the Organism of History

In the graph, the capacity to predict the cycles of economics by abstract economists is minimal. In the mentioned poll by the economists, Taxi drivers and garbage collectors, outperformed economists and financial ministers (their accuracy was 20%). On the other hand the analysis of machines as organic, top predator species, with a biological role in our society is proved by bio-economics, and theory of evolution. It is proved by the analysis of cycles of war, parallel to the economical cycles it predicts, whose regularity is closer to 90%.

Obviously bio-economics are clearly a far more accurate science, than “Ptolemaic economics” based in myths. The fact tat the “myth-postulate” of Adam Smith is false, implies that Economics are not a science. Based on myths it believes that what kills humans (machines of maximum price, i.e. weapons) is good. So it makes worse the problem of our survival, and makes poverty and war endemic, as old mythic medicine did.

We can ask ourselves then why the postulate of economics opposed to the real truth about money and machines -that their massive reproduction causes war- has imposed itself. The answer is self-evident: when someone affirms a lie systematically is because it profits him. Who profits the reproduction of money, and machines mainly weapons? those who reproduce them, animetals, warriors, traders and scientists. So we can affirm that economics are the ideology of warriors, traders and scientists, regarding the meaning of wealth, machines and money, since it protects those metal-products they live on.

That is the meaning of an ideology, the use of the concept of truth, as an excuse to achieve power, by a certain species, or group. In this case, animetals and machines, use economics to evolve and reproduce their ecosystem. Thus abstract economics have to be considered the “informative science of reproduction of machines”, whose aim is to multiply machines and money, the economic ecosystem. Yet as a by-product of its expansion, the economic ecosystem, causes the paradox of history, the extinction of history. So in a way we could say that economics are also the science of extinction of history and nature.

If economics are an ideology, and their postulate is false, what is the truth about economic growth?

The reproduction of machines causes the extinction of life, and the obsolescence of human workers (competence between men and machines). Such is the real proved, postulate of bio-economics. Precisely the inverse postulate to the postulate of abstract economists.

You can check the facts that prove such postulate in other page of this web. Let us consider here the postulate in biological terms.

The reproduction of machines is in fact a biological phenomena, that follows the Darwinian law of fight between species. The massive reproduction of machines by company-mothers since the times of the European empires, and its “biological radiations of sea animetals, of gunboats”, that conquered and killed millions of men in the third world, has been the main reason of the extinction of human beings. That struggle between men and machines was and still is a Darwinian struggle, and we could quote directly Darwin to explain it:

"As species=machines reproduce in growing numbers,

a struggle for survival against rival species=workers

follows due to the limited resources available

in the eco[nomic]system"

The origin of species, by Ch. Darwin. (Economic translation on Italic text)

Such is the real postulate of economics, a postulate that is caused by the biological laws of the Universe. The reproduction of any species requires vital space, which is taken from other species. If we were to use more economic terms, we could call that biological postulate “the Marx-Smith paradox”. Since both Adam Smith and Marx talked about such facts, but both loved machines, so they changed from an ideological perspective slightly the meaning of what they objectively saw:

“The reproduction of money (Mv) and Machines (Tp), will expel all workers (human beings) from the industrial ecosystem (reproductive system of company mothers), and humans will become extinct (Darwinian truth), or create a paradise (Marxist myth)”.

This is the Darwinian fact, the fact based in the laws of the Universe that all organisms follow. You might argue it. But the Universe does not argue, does not listen to arguments. It merely acts. So those who do not know and respect its laws become extinct.

We can talk of a simple game, the game of existence, of survival and extinction. If you respect the laws of the game, you survive. If you do not respect the Laws of survival and social evolution you die.

It is up to you. But it is not a question of theories, it is a question of facts. Throughout the entire history of species, those who have not fought other rival species, have been extinct. The law of the jungle is there for those who want to be wise. “Kill the child, the machine, before he becomes a tiger hunter, a robotic weapon”. You might listen the Law of the Universe, of God if you want to use mystic terms, and survive. You might deny it, and be punished with extinction. “Grow and multiply, reproduce, evolve your own species, your own goods” is all what there is to the game.

As long as economists do not understand that postulate, and the real meaning of human wealth they will be in the Pre-Pasteur age of their science, which is a science that should cure the historic organism, as medicine has to cure the human organism. Now Economics are in the dark ages of “medicine”, and it causes dark ages of cyclical wars, as the germs of history, weapons, and metal-communicators multiply, promoted by GNP statistics, and machine-wealth. So those wars and machines we reproduced in the XIX and XX century, will multiply in the future and keep extinguishing nature and mankind.

The Evolution Of Economics: From Verbal To Digital Myths

It is clear that the bio-economical system of machines has been created by those animetal cultures who have profited most from their symbiosis with weapons, and money, the informative language that promotes metal-species over all other species. “The cultures of Animetals”; the cultures of gold and iron, the Semitic and Germanic cultures that have carried the evolution of weapons and money, first in the Middle East, and in Modern Times in Europe and America.

In that sense Economics started not as a science but as a metal-religion.

We use a word for such ideologies "go[l]d Religions", the concept that Gold=God. That Gold is either God or a gift of God. Corrupted Judaism (we shall call it Aaronism) with its myth of the Golden calf, Calvinism, and Anglicanism based in Calvin postulates (Calvin said money was the intelligence of God), are such religions. No wonder that 90% of the great “Economists” that founded the economic “science”, belonged to those previous Gold religions...

The difference between an objective science and a subjective cultural ideology is clear. A science does not promote anything, but merely describes reality. A subjective ideology such as Economics favor a species [metal] with subjective truths disguised as postulates, as “absolute truths”. Nazism is a German culture that promotes the superiority of the German race as an absolute truth. So does Judaism or Calvinism which considers those who believe their dogmas to be “chosen of God”. They are “racial ideologies” which disguise their racism as a dogma, an absolute truth. The same goes for Economics, the racial ideology of metal-species, whose absolute truth is the goodness of machines and money, which Economics promote over all other species.

We distinguish two ages of such Economical myths, according to the two linguistic ages of history, the verbal age of Go[l]d Religions and the digital age of Economical thought. The age of verbal, myths of religious origin, gave birth to Go[l]d cultures such as Aaronism (main branch of Judaism) and Calvinism=Anglicanism (main branch of Protestantism).

Go[l]d myths helped the members of such cultures to promote money and machines, since religious myths told them that Gold was the intelligence of God. An accumulation of Gold and its symbiotic machines (mv=tp) was God's will. However, within those same cultures, the evolution of machines by scientists, end up causing the substitution of verbal languages of power (laws, religions) by digital languages of power (engineering, science, money). So the myths of Gold religions were translated to mathematics by economists. New myths of a mathematical nature were created to sustain the same goal of reproduction of machines and money, now translated into digital sentences. The myth of the supremacy of mathematics over verbal thought, and metal-senses over human senses became a dogma, the scientific method, that favored metal-sensorial machines, called scientific instruments. Finally the mandate of reproducing machines and money was translated digitally, into the “Smith equation”: ? Mv = ? Tp = GNP...

The growth of machines and money is the wealth of nations, its Gross national product. So all nations dedicated their efforts to evolve money and those species of maximum monetary value (weapons, and machines). First applied to England, it implied the massive reproduction of gunboats, and railroads, while people died of hunger in Ireland, and English people suffered such degree of poverty that they were called “white slaves”.

We live in the age of digital myths, of science and companies that have translated the “goodness of machines and products” into modern equations. We live in the Anglo-Saxon present, a world-wide, economically-determined culture. Economics are a part of that Go[l]d culture. Adam Smith (Calvinist), Say (Calvinist), Malthus (Anglican), Ricardo (Jewish), Marx (Jewish), Keynes (British) all the fathers of Economics belong to Go[l]d cultures. They merely transferred to Mathematics the religious postulates of their cultures, with a single message: “The reproduction of machines is good for humankind, it is the meaning of progress”. “Money is good because it is the invisible hand of God”.

If only it were that simple. Unfortunately Economics prefer its own jargon, its own laws, and abstractions, its own religious postulates, and so it gets nowhere, because it denies what all other sciences know and use: the universal laws of biological species. Laws that apply to eco[nomic]systems too. Neither economists, who aim to reproduce machines, and scientists, who evolve them, are able to look at themselves objectively, as part of human history, where they play a role far less beneficial to man that they suppose. The role of economics and science is neither knowledge, nor wealth per se, but the evolution and reproduction of machines, that later and only partially brings wealth and knowledge to humankind.